Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 4.245112 4.559606 4.897498 5.289529 5.734425 6.226718 6.817001
2025-08-17 3.659817 4.076004 4.550852 5.139922 5.861561 6.731379 7.882870
2025-08-24 3.331173 3.795228 4.345431 5.059091 5.981218 7.164729 8.857655
2025-08-31 3.153893 3.661466 4.283002 5.120886 6.256485 7.802091 10.188547
2025-09-07 2.989027 3.521597 4.190649 5.121325 6.434203 8.314748 11.428845
2025-09-14 2.784210 3.312688 3.988131 4.948116 6.340913 8.410991 12.024765
2025-09-21 2.631696 3.159642 3.845244 4.839548 6.321432 8.605178 12.811927
2025-09-28 2.515039 3.045392 3.744610 4.778546 6.360582 8.888927 13.814176
2025-10-05 2.439798 2.981009 3.706124 4.801084 6.525724 9.397497 15.372519
2025-10-12 2.390488 2.948008 3.707564 4.880177 6.785561 10.105851 17.563239
2025-10-19 2.343659 2.915115 3.705837 4.952280 7.039250 10.843656 20.099697
2025-10-26 2.286033 2.863729 3.673521 4.972759 7.205105 11.440614 22.545370
2025-11-02 2.206540 2.781423 3.596531 4.925030 7.261743 11.863189 24.840999
2025-11-09 2.109005 2.669853 3.471339 4.791989 7.153513 11.929795 26.159388
2025-11-16 2.034866 2.588623 3.387159 4.719707 7.149011 12.221899 28.402596
2025-11-23 1.998157 2.559793 3.380298 4.774968 7.391246 13.126174 33.545708
2025-11-30 1.950970 2.513276 3.343331 4.775361 7.525502 13.806298 38.516446
2025-12-07 1.870969 2.415141 3.221504 4.620353 7.330506 13.617725 39.361564
2025-12-14 1.808834 2.341615 3.135344 4.523014 7.245279 13.704412 41.769889
2025-12-21 1.759967 2.286249 3.075416 4.468260 7.243033 14.015163 45.824644
2025-12-28 1.730254 2.258598 3.058158 4.488495 7.401712 14.813218 54.168286
2026-01-04 1.712763 2.248690 3.068644 4.559458 7.679188 16.043178 68.729023
2026-01-11 1.694715 2.237123 3.075639 4.624084 7.951105 17.355495 89.352796